Below you will find the Columbus strategy highlights for this month.  For more insights and a detailed discussion, including to get the monthly portfolio allocations, please download the report.

Is a Recession Around the Corner?

  • Much of the recent analyst talk is about the inverted yield curve, and whether it is predicting a recession soon.
  • Other pundits are convinced this is just a temporary pause, so stocks have further upside before the economy goes south.
  • Meanwhile, Columbus is staying out of stocks next month while taking advantage of rate sensitive assets such as treasuries and real estate.
  • For more insights on the behavior of market tops and how to proactively manage risks during these transitions, please read our special report published on October 14, “Keep Calm and Follow the Data“.  If you don’t have it, please reply to this email and we will be happy to send you a copy.

To learn more about how Columbus navigates this market, please download the report and read the discussion in section 6.

Please don’t hesitate to contact me should you have any questions.

Best regards,

Jean-Marc and the Laplace Insights team

Backtesting Strategies & Overfitting

Strategy backtesting is often used to test an investment strategy from historical stock or ETF information (usually price).  The belief is that if a strategy performed well in the past, then it should continue to perform well in the future.

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